Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.149300 0.159550 0.170237 0.182230 0.195337 0.209248 0.225164
2025-12-21 0.129363 0.144074 0.160256 0.179461 0.201742 0.226910 0.257673
2025-12-28 0.117966 0.134942 0.154281 0.178109 0.206904 0.240874 0.284416
2026-01-04 0.111517 0.130383 0.152502 0.180620 0.215801 0.258889 0.316483
2026-01-11 0.104644 0.124531 0.148401 0.179537 0.219641 0.270349 0.340623
2026-01-18 0.098394 0.118870 0.143946 0.177392 0.221580 0.279053 0.361334
2026-01-25 0.092654 0.113408 0.139272 0.174455 0.221997 0.285423 0.378960
2026-02-01 0.090218 0.111934 0.139495 0.177769 0.230743 0.303368 0.413985
2026-02-08 0.086063 0.107962 0.136173 0.176021 0.232281 0.311198 0.434742
2026-02-15 0.082930 0.105145 0.134179 0.175876 0.235911 0.322059 0.460698
2026-02-22 0.078956 0.100997 0.130152 0.172610 0.234765 0.325703 0.475582
2026-03-01 0.076231 0.098401 0.128093 0.171961 0.237300 0.334871 0.499808
2026-03-08 0.073971 0.096376 0.126766 0.172341 0.241457 0.346905 0.530020
2026-03-15 0.070863 0.093048 0.123464 0.169655 0.240786 0.351325 0.547810
2026-03-22 0.068433 0.090562 0.121230 0.168402 0.242186 0.359033 0.571822
2026-03-29 0.067256 0.089791 0.121403 0.170737 0.249295 0.376444 0.614624
2026-04-05 0.065183 0.087647 0.119471 0.169730 0.250944 0.384793 0.641537
2026-04-12 0.062963 0.085204 0.116993 0.167735 0.250831 0.390062 0.663029
2026-04-19 0.060673 0.082577 0.114137 0.165001 0.249314 0.392736 0.679654
2026-04-26 0.060064 0.082399 0.114936 0.168086 0.257692 0.413405 0.733994
2026-05-03 0.058271 0.080394 0.112878 0.166459 0.257910 0.419327 0.758795
2026-05-10 0.056949 0.079048 0.111775 0.166324 0.260677 0.430073 0.794757
2026-05-17 0.054985 0.076670 0.108990 0.163285 0.258153 0.430693 0.808885